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Counter Suggestion to http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5575a4f4dea9e9a05f8b4573
Conservative rise.
Only 2 pages of sellers and buyers on Outpost at time of posting.
Sale at 1 key and 7 refined (~1.4 keys):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26081462
Sales at 1 key and 10 refined (~1.5 keys, credits to Hex for the first sale and the screenshot, credits to Dont Touch That Pootis Bird BBRO for the second sale):
http://i.imgur.com/mzFl2cW.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26106524
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26146707 (Has killstreak)
Quicksale at 1.2 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26172549 (Seller at 1 key and 1.33 refined, ~1.1 keys) sold to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26172466 (Young buyer at 1 key and 3 refined, ~1.2 keys)
History of the Festive Scattergun involved:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3827617752,669,6
Sellers at 1.1 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26166296 (~1 day old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26166011 (~1 day old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26133273 (~4 days old, poorly bumped)
Going with a conservative rise as there are still sellers at the current bp tf price which is 1.1 keys.
This is all I could find on Outpost that are valid at the time of posting this suggestion.