"I see you, taunt. And you're dropping."

Need a mini on this for another suggestion. Updating it on the go

The sales:

Sale 1:

Purchased on the SCM:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1433833200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1433919600 after

As far as I can see it was ~71€ => ~32 keys

Not gonna include this in the range since there's plenty of regular in-game sales, but it supports the drop and proves the next sale an outlier.

Sale 2:

Sold with DbD panama (~31) for beams panama (55)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25755491 panama had a BO of 55

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102607360?time=1433142000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102607360?time=1433252589 after

presumably offered, none of the seller's items had outpost trades.

55-31 = ~24

-> 24 keys outlier

Sale 3:

Sold with mallard muffs for Ghastly Ghost RPS

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064995767?time=1433906869 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064995767?time=1433919600 after

Could be used to price the RPS

Sale 4:

Sold + beams toy tailor for FoD schadenfreude

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987579006?time=1433487600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987579006?time=1433700661 after

Using to price the tailor

Sale 5:

Sold for ?

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987579006?time=1430463600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987579006?time=1430550000 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097412213?time=1430463600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097412213?time=1430556098 after

Cant make anything of this

Sale 6:

Sold with two other hats for a pro ks aussie rocket launcher

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068617678?time=1430204400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068617678?time=1430352704 after

Outlier for sure (ends below 0)

Sale 7:

Bulk sale beams cotton

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027062821?time=1430118000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027062821?time=1430204400 after

Was used to price the cotton

Sale 8:

Sold for duped Scorching football helmet (~39)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056189244?time=1430187463 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056189244?time=1430204400 after

Overpay done in mini

-> 39 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for blizzy jefe (~22) + bubbling HWNN (~22)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1428994800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101300189?time=1429081200 after

0.9*(22+22) = ~40

-> 40 keys

Sale 10:

Bulk deal as part of a sniper set

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128141786?time=1428649200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128141786?time=1428742799 after

Cant use

The minis:

Mini scorching football:

Sold for duped burning football helmet (~36) + 3 keys + SF nade (~4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1432105200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1432211655 after

0,9*(36+4) + 3 = ~39

Taking 39 after overpay

Minimini burning football:

Sold for aussie knife (~20) + bud + 14 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982295876?time=1431612493 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982295876?time=1431673200 after

Cant find the knife in the buyers BP, but a ticket was removed.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25815276 shows he did have the knife. History reveals he probably won it. Guessing the seller put it up on the market before the next bp scan.

Shows the knife was offered along with pure:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24660966

Gonna assume it was involved. This easily exceeds its current clean equivalent of 36 keys

Gonna take 36

Mini HWNN:

Sold with blizzy jefe (~22) for searing kabuto

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25685352 BO 45

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043891695?time=1428817541 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043891695?time=1429081200 after

45-22 = 23

Since there's sellers at 22 all over the place, Im gonna take 22

Sales at:

24

39

40

Rest was involved in a bulk deal.

Seeing how there was a SCM purchase at ~32 keys, 24 is an easy outlier.

Gonna go for 39-40

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3