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"Late night weird ritual shizzle"
~~~ Requested by Jallu ~~~
As per request, pricing this as well as the peace coldsnap
Sale 1:
2 of them sold for a vivid ninjahood (~150)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042132655?time=1432710000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042132655?time=1432917543 after
This would put them at ~75 each.
Sale 2:
Sold for peace coldsnap
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148809936?time=1432796400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148809936?time=1432914833 after
Using to price the coldsnap
Sale 3:
Sold for vivid degroot (~26) + steaming grimm (~14) + planets stash (~55) + o.fire coupe (~10) + KaW headsplitter (~35)?
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064824787?time=1429254000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064824787?time=1429342877 after
Item histories seem to indicate the splitter was part of the deal, but it seems to come from nowhere.
0.9*(35+14+55+10) + 26 = ~128
-> 128 keys
Sale 4:
Sold for SFB Skid Lidhttp://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036122881?time=1428994800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036122881?time=1429178312 after
Histories:
Lid: http://backpack.tf/item/3163197092
Juju: http://backpack.tf/item/3404142804
After checking histories, it seems both were sold together for something. Cant figure out what though. Explains why I couldnt find the juju in his 'before'
Sale 5:
Sold for Duped SBTWC burglerre (~75) + spec aussie knife (~21) + pro aussie amby (~18) + DCC/S. sapper/S. DR/cosmetics (total ~5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148809936?time=1433401200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148809936?time=1433543232 after
0.9*(75+21+18+5) = ~110
-> 110 keys
Sale 6:
Sold for S13h milk man (75) + 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25930928
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013886978?time=1432364400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013886978?time=1432487519 after
0,9*75 + 3 = ~ 71
-> 71 keys
The minis:
Mini burglerre+spy stuff:
Using minis from another suggestion:
Burglerre:
Sold for blizzy gibus (~75)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25077708
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129207747?time=1432115385 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129207747?time=1432364400 after
Taking 75
Spy stuff:
- Spec aussie knife (~21)
- Pro aussie amby (~18)
- Doublecross com (~1.3)
- Strange sapper (~1.5)
- Strange DR (~0.9)
For more info:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5574783cba8d8846278b4588
All these items were involved in this sale too. The spy stuff values are averages from the SCM.
Mini degroot:
Sold for 26 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25387573
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034401101?time=1427698800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034401101?time=1427794545 after
Taking 26
Sales at
71
75 (2 for 150)
110
128
The other coldsnap cap sale would be ~125, backing up the high end sales
This range is ugly and wide. No offers on outpost the current outpost trades to render either of the two outliers.
Going for that lame wide range of 71-128. Rounding it to 70-130.
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
This is an ugly ass range. Just cuz MG one got priced unusually high at 165 2 months ago. IMO the real value is close the the lower end considering price ranges on the other effects. I remember being offerd Two of these for my 120 keys unusual (which I still rejected). Hope everyone sees this comment and do not have a false idea that this will sell close to 165 keys.
Yeah, the range is meh, and it sure as hell isnt 165. The person that offered you the two together ended up selling them for a ~150 hat. There's sales backing up both ends, so Ive decided to go with the large range, as I dont have clear indicators that either end is an outlier.