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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26155753
I just bought one myself, they were asking 50 but took 45 so that seems like a good place to put the value. Only 3 in existence, so finding more proof is going to be difficult.
I couldn't find any other recent valid sales (bulk and qs only) so this should be fine. Can you make a screenshot from your trade history just to be sure?
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v653/matashavexen/brave_zpsbsszo9cy.jpg
Bp histories registered 45 keys as well, should be alright... but damn that's a lot to pay.
I would sell it for 40 in a heartbeat
40 would put DBD and other 3rd gen effects higher then Vivid Plasma, a better higher tier effect. That would make no sense. You may be willing to sell for 40 if you had one, but you don't and those few that do aren't willing to sell that low.