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Drop.
Sold for an Australium Spec KS Stickybomb Launcher(~15 Keys with Overpay at the time)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120983335?time=1427715366 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120983335?time=1427871600
Sold for a Steaming Hottie's Hoodie(13 Keys with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146223370?time=1433487600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146223370?time=1433605807
Sold for a Stormy Storm Conquistador(12 Keys with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084178130?time=1428908400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084178130?time=1428994800
Sales seem to fit, 12-15 Keys should be fine.
Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.