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"Themed because molten + soldered"
I thought the other suggester was going to resuggest based on the provided sales, but he didnt.
The sales:
Sale 1:
Sold with flies merry (~10) and 2 bills (~5) for secret ushanka (~70)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26177509 offered here
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034574143?time=1434309925 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034574143?time=1434351600 after
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018208279?time=1434265200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018208279?time=1434380874 after
70-10-5 = ~55
-> 55 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for duped miami ballcap (~44)
http://backpack.tf/item/2344322808 for http://backpack.tf/item/3344517309
0.9*44 = ~40
-> 40 keys
Sale 3:
Sold for c9 samur (~21)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25614013 samur outpost
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117820619?time=1428431857 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117820619?time=1428476400 after
Presumably offerered, the sensei had no OP
-> 21 keys outlier
Sale 4:
Sold for 35 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25817156 (valuing at 50 keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012613726?time=1430290800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012613726?time=1430377200 after
NOT a QS, it was relisted a ton of times
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25738634 [gonna assume that offer is BS seeing what it actually sold for]
-> 35 keys
The minis:
Mini merry:
Sold for 10 pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094?time=1433919600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094?time=1434150994 after
Taking 10
Mini ballcap:
Sold for 30 keys + stormy whoopee (~14)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041625769?time=1434307116 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041625769?time=1434351600 after
Taking 44
================================================================================================================
Overall conclusion: ~20 is an easy outlier, seeing how it sold in a reasonably short time for more in pure. Range of 35-55 seems fine
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3