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Due to popular demand, this needs a larger drop. Thanks Musix and Julia for some of the links. Not dropping too much though,
don't want to ruin my B.P valuedon't want to shoot this thing completely down due to 1 low sale.Unsold at 18
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26213064
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Seller at 17
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26216732#latest
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Seller at 16
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26217284 (Credit to Musix : http://backpack.tf/u/76561198066084176 )
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Sold at 14
http://i.imgur.com/Cng3yCt.png (Credit to Julia. http://backpack.tf/u/76561198080179568 Hey, I bought that! Took at least 1 day)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1434265200 From the 14th to the sixteenth. If you didn't install the kick-ass script made by this trusted user, you can just check the B.P. It's there on 14th and 15th, gone on 16th.
Why is it only the 18 ref seller is too high when its just as old as the 17 and 16 ref sellers? (which are all only a day old). You need to either remove 16-18 from the range or prove that 18 ref is the only unsellable point with valid unsolds.
Valid unsold? http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26213064
14 isn't the most common trading point. Going to 14 flat would mean that's the 100% most common trading point. 14-17 seems to be, and with 2 sellers, and 1 sold, 18 doesn't deserve to be in the range.
You never even provided evidence that 14 ref didn't quicksell.Also, your "valid unsold" at 18 ref is only a day old, and is the same age as your 17 and 16 ref sellers. You can't just pick and choose which sellers are unsolds or valid sellers when they are the pretty much the exactly the same age. On top of that, using a one day old seller as your only proof to justify a price drop is ludicrous as its only a day old and just became a valid seller.
I'm taking the sellers word for it. The seller, "Julia", has over 200 accepted suggestions, 6,000 bp.tf repuataion, is rated "trusted,"
Since you don't seem to be the type that would check the market, I'll do it for you.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/248932627
There are 16 sellers there right now. 10 of which are valid. Let's analyze these trades.
Seems like 7 of them have killstreaks. That leaves 3 trades left.
A seller at 16, 17, and 18. 18 becomes a red flag, telling you that should be removed from the range. Then, we found the sale. That seems to make a good trading point, 14-17.
I'll take your insult as an insult. Thanks.
Do you want to know why I removed 18? There are 2 sellers lower than it, and a valid sale. That's an outlier m8. It seems you don't want 14 to be there, but yet, you want it to be 14 flat. Explain.
By that way, what? Yea, I can't pick and choose what's a valid unsold/seller. I didn't. A valid trade is over 1 day old, and has been bumped in the past 24 hours.
Going off SCM, 18 ref seems high. They've been around $1.60 for the past few days, which is like 14 ref.
Actually, I do have proof it didn't quicksell.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1434265200 From the 14th to the sixteenth. If you didn't install the kick-ass script made by this trusted user, you can just check the B.P. It's there on 14th and 15th, gone on 16th.
Found this trade.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26189773 - sold at 18 ref (not in BP)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136385861?time=1434178800 Compare with 16th. Didn't sell for 18 ref.
Just sold mine at 14, after failing to sell at 17. It took about a day to sell. Was bumped every 3 hours in classifieds, and decently on outpost.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26244524#latest
Wouldn't that mean 17 shouldn't be in the range?
Perhaps so. I'll close this and redo.