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Adding few more sales onto the latest accepted suggestion.
Solds (from previous suggestion)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25945845 [Sold for $74.36 on the SCM (29.6 keys, rounded to 30 keys)]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25766659 [Sold for 32 keys]
2 more sales:
http://imgur.com/pGj7rVx - Sold for 32 keys
http://imgur.com/hhREsmI - Sold for $95 via PP -> 49 keys counting keys at $1.95/key
With 3 sales in small range of 30-32 i would count 49 as outlier
Not really sure if the most recent sale should be considered as an outlier, so let the mods make a call here.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26249815 - another recent sale well under 49. Most of those sales took a while as well. 49 does appear to be an outlier