Suggestion: Smoking Glasgow Great Helm at 30 keys

Price Suggestion

~25 keys

smoking

111 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Mon, 13 Jul 15 18:41:35 +0000 by aaroncsn.

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Comments

sale 1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032?time=1433833200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032?time=1433919600 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26164743 sold for searing drill hat

sale 2unsold then quicksold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26103140 unsold at 30 for 1-2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26123421 unsold at 30 for 1-2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26147995

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26155856

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26162524 quicksold at 20

potentially more sales

http://backpack.tf/item/3115996281

sellers/unsold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26182891

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26220741 unsold 2 weeks at 45 keys

First sale is wrong. It was sold for a Vivid Metal Drills and not a Searing Drill.

Looks like the Vivid Metal Drills then sold for a Trash Smoking Wraith Wrap ~18 Keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017749215?time=1433908518

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017749215?time=1433919600

Mini on the Gifted Duped (Trash) Smoking Wraith:

Sold for 6 Keys + Spec. KS Aussie Frontier (~12 Keys) ~18 Keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084192543?time=1435097601

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084192543?time=1435215600

History happened too quick, so by using Julia's script, you might not see what's going on.

that drill sale seems like an outlier, based on other sales:

D@D sultan ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26075574 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26100629 ) (highly likely drill was offered), which had added a pro ks widowmaker for a KaW pomade ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26169117 ), so I'd say drill is probably around 30

this is the only clean sale that wasn't a qs, so a more accurate mini will be needed on the drill

so what do you suggest i do? change to 27 since there's unsold at 30 and after calculating overpay for sale 1?

see if you can find other sales on the drill

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109314783?time=1436425200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109314783?time=1436541218 after

full metal sergeant drill sold for dp kiss king

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060212574?time=1436511600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060212574?time=1436598000 after

sold for pro ks sniper,

mini for pro ks sniper rifle

quite a few on classified for 38-45 range

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26425930 40

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26323780 38

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069641252?time=1433833200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069641252?time=1433919600 after

sold for gifted smoking wraith wrap

most sale are at 30-33 for vivid full metal drill hat after calculating overpay

so yeah, that's 37*0.9=33

pro ks aussie sniper is around 35 (SCM is 56, which is a huge difference)

pomade sale is 44-4=40*0.9=36

so 33-36 on drill

if you apply overpay on minis you shouldn't on the sale, so that would give you a sale at 35, which would round to 30 because of seller's buyout

this suggestion is fine, needed some work to prove it, but it looks good!

thanks, i should suggest on the drill if i have the time given the multiple proof i gathered

sounds good

Another sale to support the drop.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26274220 Sold for DBD Hermes(36.5 keys * 0.9 = ~33 keys) + ~ 0.7 keys Sweets. Making this ~ 34 keys

With this sale, it would've been 30-34 keys but this is close enough.