Suggestion: Sunbeams Private Eye at 60–72 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~148 keys

sunbeams

93 votes up

41 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 25 Jun 15 17:00:01 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

2nd times the charm c;

thanks a crapload to Ðε Ȥøȴεx² and ♥ ebb & flow ♥ :)))

Sunbeams Private Eye

[Sale #1] Sold for Vivid Private Eye (24 Keys) + Aussie Scattergun (34 Keys) + 10 Keys + Sweets (4 keys) ~72 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078651045?time=1434783600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078651045?time=1434870000

http://i.imgur.com/zySyLFN.png?1

[Sale #2] Sold for 51 Keys ~51 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123729265?time=1433472061

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123729265?time=1433487600

[Sale #3] Sold for Duped Vivid Anger ~53 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154658453?time=1428476400

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154658453?time=1428632756

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25650293 - Quicksold

[Sale #4] Sold for 50 Keys ~50 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119858493?time=1428899113

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119858493?time=1428994800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25673557 - Quicksold

[Sale #5] Sold for Scorching Noir ~59 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024085240?time=1428390000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024085240?time=1428538627

[Sale #6] Sold for 40 Keys ~40 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121578764?time=1428217200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121578764?time=1428310249

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25580430 - Quicksold

♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥

Mini-Suggestions:

Duped Vivid Anger: (53 Keys)

[Sale #1] Sold for Spec. KS Aussie Black Box (~22 Keys) + 31 Keys ~53 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104506391?time=1433660400

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104506391?time=1433796743

Vivid Private Eye: (24 Keys)

Sold for Aussie Grenade Launcher (19 Keys) + 5 Keys ~24 Keys

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019190046?time=1431759554

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019190046?time=1431846000

♥ ebb & flow ♥: ♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25979859

-Offered 50 Keys

-Offered 55 Keys twice

-Offered Harvest Moon Glengarry Bonnet ~56 Keys

~~~~Harvest Moon Glengarry Bonnet was sold for GE Reggae: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26084389

♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥♫♥

Including the price of the Scorching Noir in the range as there are so much sales below. Offers do show that sales below 55 are outliers.

Therefore, doing a conservative bump instead.

Wow, Much better, good work.

there ya go, much better

upvote

also

http://gyazo.com/41a1904bece956af798f29208b4a7f92 --> http://gyazo.com/1266428871e62c4e514f0d701e159afd

( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

Upvote for me :)

Outliers are defined by deviations from the mean and not the time it takes to sell them. I would argue that you have 40 and 72 as outliers on either end and the range here should be 50-60. Furthermore, the most valuable sales here are the sales in pure and you have excluded every single pure sale from the suggestion even though suggestions are designed to reflect items values in pure.

Most of the sales around 50-60 keys are 2 months ago and nearly 3. Even though I do agree with most sales are sold within keys, the hat should be priced including the pure sales in it, but considering offers nowadays are above most pure sales (~50 Keys) which happened 2 months ago and the seller has turned the c/o's off too, wouldn't it be right to consider 50 out of the range just for updating the hat to current value?

Seller also has said that he turned off a 58 Keys pure offer which should be actually near 60.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26222182

Indeed, 72 also looks pretty high for me, thought this was around ~60-70 Keys. That's why I asked the suggester to do a conservative bump instead.

Or probably wait for another sale to see what's going on instead?

Regarding the offer of 58 keys, the guy has had the hat for 3 months. The highest pure offer in 3 months is 58 keys? He was selling it before at 60 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25700904.

You may be right that the price is now 60-70 compared to 50-60 2 months ago. I don't mind keeping this up for a week or so to see if it sells again.

i turned down an offer of 58 keys pure on my clean sunbeams private eye.

http://gyazo.com/390ce631e8efc8ece1221df4c5419729

screenshot of the chat

this is my "end game" hat so i was more reluctant to accept offers that i may otherwise take. its put up for offers to see if i get something i rlly like.

i notice it has been mentioned, but there is proof i guess?

This will definitely help. Thanks for the additional proof. ^^