Suggestion: Searing Plasma Tartan Tyrolean at 45 keys

Price Suggestion

~22 keys

searing

89 votes up

29 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 19 Jul 15 11:03:11 +0000 by aaroncsn.

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Comments

Half a year old price.

Sale 1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093399764?time=1433574000 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093399764?time=1433833200 After

Circling Peace Sign Sergeant's Drill Hat

36 x 0.9 = ~32

**Outlier**

Sale 2

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070443280?time=1433401200 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070443280?time=1433574000 After

51.5 x 0.9 = ~46

Sale 3

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049994644?time=1433142000 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049994644?time=1433228400 After

Sold with a Cauldron Bubbles Surgeon's Stahlhelm for a Scorching Flames Vintage Merryweather

45 x 0.9 = ~40 Surgeons (Overpay)

95 x 0.9 = ~85 Merryweather (Overpay)

Tartan - 40 = 85

Tartan = 45

There is one more sale which appears to be for a Max's Head that expires tommorow. It seems low so I won't count it.

[bMinis[/b]

Circling Peace Sign Drill Hat

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087957579?time=1434351600 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087957579?time=1434438000 After

Sold for Bubbling Co-Pilot

39.5 x 0.9 = ~36

Cauldron Bubbles Surgeon's Stahlhelm

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018821240?time=1434697200 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018821240?time=1434870000 After

Sold for Orbiting Fire Blighted Beak

50 x 0.9 = 45

(http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55780869dea9e9ce5f8b45a8 Soon to be price of Orb Fire Beak)

Rounding to 45

Any reason for calling 32 an outlier?

Significantly lower than the other sales and would make a large range.

The Frostbite Crown is Sale # 2 is gonna be outdated soon enough. Better off finding a mini for it

Mini for Crown

Sold for a Burning Flames Berliner's Bucket Helm ~ 41 Keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100895756?time=1432796400 (May 28th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100895756?time=1432882800 (May 29th)

Crown - http://backpack.tf/item/3601657172

Berliners - http://backpack.tf/item/2441986005

Could surely see a range of 32-45 Keys with a more updated price for the Crown.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26288590 - offer of peace cannonball (~50)

Looking at your sales,

Sale #3,

You don't apply overpay on both the merryweather and the stahlhelm.It is either no overpay if the tartan was offered on the merryweather or apply overpay only on the scorching flames vintage merryweather.

In addition to that, more was involved in that trade. 15 keys were added together with the cauldron bubbles stahlhelm and tartan for the scorching flames vintage merryweather.

Backpack of seller

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049994644?time=1433142000 (June 1st)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049994644?time=1433228400 (June 2nd)

That sale should've been 95 * 0.9 = ~ 86 - 45 - 15 = ~26 keys.

So we have sales at 26 keys, 32 keys and 46 keys. With these sales, 46 keys seems more like the outlier here. To be certain of that, there will be a need to wait for more sales.

For the time being, with 2 sales less than your suggested price, this is on the high side.