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The seller has lowered his buyout to 60 Keys pure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26258281
Sale #1's Fez is duped, therefore, a mini is needed.
Credits to Jacobmeister:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086056239?time=1431586800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086056239?time=1431673200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25961593 - trade was really quick but it looks like it sold for peace tyrantium? ( http://backpack.tf/item/2905673698 ) 27 * 0.9 = ~24
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063845409?time=1429081200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063845409?time=1430377200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25763190 - g. pro ks awp + s. pro ks market gardener (both total ~14 keys looking at SCM) + 7 keys worth of pure = 21 keys
Can't track any more sales - taking 21-24
So therefore, after overpay, the Hearts Fez would be 20 Keys. Total amount of that sale would be 44 Keys.
Sale #2's Vivid Fruit Shoot is duped.
Mini on the Vivid Fruit:
Sold for C9 Jumper's Jeepcap ~20 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085041484?time=1433401200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085041484?time=1433546645
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55381fdcb98d88fc2c8b5cad
Blizz Toy Soldier should still be around 18. ~18
Not to forget, he also added a Festive Minigun.
Altogether would be 48 Keys.
Sale #4 should not calculate overpay on the KE. The overpay should be calculated on the other side.
So, Stormy Storm KE (63 Keys) - Stormy Inspecteur (10 Keys) - Spec. KS V. Luger (7 Keys) -Sweets (7 Keys) ~39 Keys
Would round up 39 to 40 and make a range at 40-48 Keys instead. ~ roller