Suggestion: Haunted Ghosts Hustler's Hallmark at 35 keys

Even if the above two sales might be considered outliers due to some given quickbuyers at 33 keys (although their prices are probably not updated...), it just goes to show and reinforces that the most common trading point for this hat happens around the suggested value of ~35 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26422470 - B/O of 39 keys (young, ~1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26326770 - B/O of 40 keys (~2 weeks)

just sold mine for 28 keys+specks market (around 1)

Thanks for reporting your sale, was just going to provide more proof but you did it for me instead :)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26509691 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26470100 - B/O of 35 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26519622 - B/O of 35 keys

Sigh.... and I sold this unusual for a pro k.s aussie sniper and 6 keys pure (around 56 then). I guess I got quite lucky. This unusual definitely deserves a drop :(

This is one of the hard ones just like the Peace Belt. I've tried doing this before, but due to the lack of information on sales since I'm not premium, I don't have enough information to see which is the outlier.

Anyways, the PE Cowl is duped, therefore the total of the sale should be lower than 60.

Also, with this sale ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26004867 ) that AarChA has given below, the total of that sale should be around 50 as well.

Current sales here are 27, 27, 29, 30, 30, 33, 35, ~50, 50+, 60-.

50+ is the DBD Bomber sale and ~50 is AarChA's sale.

IMO, this should have a range. Current market is really unstable, with sales going in and out quite fast and mostly on pure which makes the sale a quicksell. I'll probably do 35 and a high range which should be around ~50.

Fair enough, I do see where you're coming from, but I'm going to be straight up with you and say I beg to differ. All 3 of the sales above 50 keys are close to, if not over, 2 months old. Surely this hat could've fetched 50 key+ sales 2 months ago, but definitely not now as all the recent sales AND buyouts under 40 keys indicate otherwise; there are just too many recent sales and buyouts under 40 keys that it significantly outweighs the 3 two-month old sales. Not to mention using premium, there has also been no recent sales above 40 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26526189 - B/O of 35 keys (2 days, pretty young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25469482 - Unsold at 50 keys (3 months)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26422470 - Still unsold at 39 keys (~2 weeks now)

All in all, I honestly believe that 35 keys is fine and is a perfect representation of this hat's true value.

There is only quite a few valid buyouts to support the price you have there.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26516975

Just sold for 40 Keys pure.

Not to mention, the sale at 35 Keys was quicksold. Let's see what happens on the buyouts at 35 and 39 for some days more. This really should have a range.

Yeah, I guess we will just have to wait it out for a few more days to see what happens.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26516975

This sold for 40 keys in about 3 days whereas there has been a B/O of 39 keys for 2 weeks.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26422470

Sales are just all around the place, perhaps a range of 35-40 keys would be fine, but I still don't see the point of including 50 keys in the range.

The reason that I've said to include 50 Keys in the range is that the sales that are valid (no lower than 33) and below 50 keys are all pure keys, with most of them being sold really quick. IMO, doing a conservative here is way better than dropping it real low as sales are all spread around.

Well anyways, let's wait. :P

I decided to browse the duped version of this hat, and found some interesting sales.

Sold for a Duped Burning Flames Professional's Panama(.8 overpay gives 42, shouldn't be less than 40)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015?time=1432018800&compare=1432105200

Sold for a Molten Mallard Towering Titanium Pillar of Hats(61 Keys with Overpay, invalid because of a scammer but should still be noticed)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062290614?time=1432364400&compare=1432278000

Sold for a Miami Nights Wraith Wrap(17.5 Keys with Overpay), a Strange Pro KS Rocket Launcher(~9 Keys with Overpay) and a Strange Pro KS Natascha(~2.5 Keys)(~29 Keys total)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083481668?time=1436166000&compare=1436079600

It's clear that sales at 33 and below are outliers, because of the constant buyers at that. However, the sale at 40 Pure shouldn't be disregarded because of B/Os, since it's still a pure sale(and the duped one sold twice for above that amount, even though both sales are unuseable regardless). I'd go with 35-40 here, since the sales were pure, it gives the hat a solid pure representation of what it can get.

I'll do just that once I get home, thanks Mindacos and Roller!