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Something Burning This Way Comes Magistrate's Mullet
Wow, this was effort.
SALE 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145940774?time=1434351600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145940774?time=1434548399 - sold for blizzardy storm fro (19) + peace provocateur (21) = 40 * 0.9 = 36
SALE 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700?time=1430377200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700?time=1430463600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25795858 - sold for C9 stovepipe (23) + duped AH elfin (17) + duped N&B mountain cap (~10, its value won't change too much) = 50 * 0.9 = 45
SALE 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164506796?time=1429772400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164506796?time=1429896684 - sold for knifestorm nano (60, was priced in pure so no need for overpay)
Sales at 36, 45, 60.
SELLER:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26222708 - B/O of 55, has received a pure offer of 40 (which I'm going to assume wasn't fake considering brendan's higher offer)
This shows 36 is an outlier - will take 45-55, as the 55 seller has been unsold for 2 weeks.
The current seller on Outpost is very misleading and using false information. For the record, I did not offer to 1:1 my Silver Cyclone Schadenfreude for his SBTWC Mullet, but rather I was asking for him to add ~15-20 keys pure or in items.
Also, I haven't got any proof/screenshots but a few days ago he listed it on classifieds for 40 keys. Regardless, I think 36-45 keys is a much more accurate representation of this hat's value.
Ah okay, thanks for that. Knowing that offer is fake, the 40 key offer is probably fake too. We can assume 60 is an outlier then, given the B/O.