The 11 month old price on this hat is too d*mn high...

~~~~~ Sales ~~~~~

Sale #1:

Clean Scorching Bombing Run + 10

36 + 10 = 46

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25847431 MN Front Runner offered no overpay

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088528579?time=1430982000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088528579?time=1431154800

Sale #2:

Support sale, not using because Bot Dogger

Steaming Sober + Cauldron Big Country + Aces Bot Dogger + 2 keys

11*.9 + 26*.9 + 9*.9 + 2 = 43.4 = ~43

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066963919?time=1434697200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066963919?time=1434870000

Sale #3:

Sold for Disco Ballcap(outlier)

36*.9 = 32.4 = ~32

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1434524400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1434610800

Sale #4:

Mass sale for Secret Bomber

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1434265200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065369941?time=1434351600

Sale #5:

NaB Party + 2 manns mint + 77 ref in rando stranges + spec ks S loose cannon + Pro KS S Original + BMOC + White Vintage Tossle + Birdman of australiacatraz

18*.9 + 2*.9 + 77/19.06*.9 + 3.4*.9 + 12.3*.9 + 3.9*.9 + 2*.9 + 4/19.06*.9 = 41.3 = ~41

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048350412?time=1435474800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048350412?time=1435734000

~~~~~ Minis ~~~~~

Cauldron Bubbles Big Country

Bulk Sale for Beams Thirst

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066963919?time=1435561200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066963919?time=1435647600

Stormy Storm Salty Dog 1:1, 29*.9 = 26.1 = ~26

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1433660400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106838027?time=1433746800

Aces Bot Dogger is un-miniable, but its a small part of the sale.

Old price is 16 from 12 months ago, current seller has no B/O, but I did find a offer of 9 keys from May( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26039327 ) He didnt specify which pyro hat he was offering on though, so it may be an offer on the trib.

Quickbuyer for 8 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26329853

Another Quickbuyer for 8 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26322033

Given that quickbuyers aim to make profit, and the offer of 9, and that this is a small part of the sale, I'm taking 9 keys as an estimation of price

Ballcap

50 key seller on classifieds

DBD Ballcap

Sale #1:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26237321

Aus Blut + Aus Medigun ballcap offered on

10+26 = 36

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26254005

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079474904?time=1434783600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079474904?time=1434870000

Support Sale #2

Power Surge Tossle(5 months outdated @41k) 41*.9 = 36.9 = ~37 is approximately the value of the usable sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879305?time=1428994800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879305?time=1429340400

~~~~~ Notes ~~~~~

Usable sales at 46, 32, 41. Support sale at 43. Taking 41-46 as range.