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Sale 1: (credits to T.w² // Bowie)
Sold for 30 keys
http://i.imgur.com/LgvTT9X.png
Sale 2: (sale was used to price the Skullcracker)
Involved in a bulk deal for '72 Skullcracker
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26331917
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1435647600 (June 30th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1435756246 (July 1st)
http://i.imgur.com/a8Emwps.png
Sale 3: (credits to ᴾᴾᴹ Shuffle Spy)
Sold for 30 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1432018800 (May 19th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1432191600 (May 21st)
Sale 4:
Sold for 35 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26383753 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26349695
http://backpack.tf/id/xyneron?time=1436166000 (July 6th)
http://backpack.tf/id/xyneron?time=1436282710 (July 7th)
http://i.imgur.com/Jln3T8I.png
Notes:
The range from this suggestion would result in more than a 5% difference from the previous suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26349695 - received an offer of 36 keys but his keys were untradable.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25869258 - B/O of 35 keys (~2 months, been frequently opening/closing his trades)
Conclusion:
Valid sales at 30, 30 and 35 keys. Taking a final range of 30-35 keys.
Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!