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I'm sure I probably learned something from this huge mess
1. 99 keys
Sold for Harvest Counterfeit Billycock (open at 65) + Duped Harvest Buckaroo's (40)
Seller before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020676615?time=1433729592
Seller after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020676615?time=1433833200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020676615?time=1433660400&compare=1433833200
Sold for 40 keys
Buyer before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512?time=1430377200
Buyer after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512?time=1430463600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512?time=1430377200&compare=1430463600
2. 111 keys
Sold for Arcana Whirly Warrior (105) + Australium Grenade Launcher (18)
Seller before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1432018800
Seller after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1432105200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1432018800
3. Leaving all this here in case someone wants to do something with it
Sold + Duped TF Logo TC (154.35) + SF RL (17.5) for Duped Cloudy Moon Pyromancer's (no mini)
Seller before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1431932400
Seller after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1432018800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041057886?time=1431932400&compare=1432018800
Sold for PE Company Man (open at 171.5)
Seller before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000269846?time=1434178800
Seller after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000269846?time=1434265200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000269846?time=1434178800&compare=1434265200
Sold for Bonzo Spook Specs
Buyer before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1430895600
Buyer after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1430982000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118493189?time=1430895600&compare=1430982000
Sold for EOF Brown Bomber (open at 102) + MG Hallmark + Diamond Botkiller Sniper Mk1 (1.7) + 4 keys
Seller before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006424450?time=1436570896
Seller after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006424450?time=1436684400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006424450?time=1436511600&compare=1436684400
What about the sellers?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26338649 wants 90 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26162932 wants 98 keys
90 key seller is looking for csgo keys, not sure how that would translate into TF2 keys. Based on the wording I don't think 90 is a b/o either.
98 key seller likely based that off of the current price and it's so close to the suggested range that it hopefully shouldn't pose a problem.
The 98 keys seller might make sale 2 an outlier?
Not too sure on that, guess I'll wait and see.
I personally think that yes the 98 seller does make sale 2 an outlier, I would go for 99 flat
Additionally he has been selling that hat for 3 months (at that same price the whole time I think) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26162932
More sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26162932 b/o 98 keys Sold for Misty Skull Swagman's Swatter + Vivid Plasma Your Worst Nightmare
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26640582 Sold for Morning Glory Tartan Spartan (102.5 keys outdated) Current seller 90 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26630922
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26510441 Sold for 64 keys pure + 1 bud + ~ 27 keys in items.. Making this ~ 95 keys.(Was willing to take 85 keys in the comments)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26630328 b/o 90 keys. Sold for Circling Heart Fruit Shoot(46 keys) + Phosphorous Connoisseur's Cap(47 keys outdated)
Current seller
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26650416 b/o 80 keys(6 days)
So we have 4 sales and 1 seller less than your suggested range here. Seems that sales are commonly revolving around the 80-100 keys region. I would probably go with 80-100 keys. 110 keys sale is probably an outlier with all these sales. Either way, all these sales and seller should not be ignored.