Price Suggestion
Blizzardy Storm Le Party Phantom
Submitted by ★ armely
84.4%
26–28 keys
20–23 keys
4
~175 keys
blizz
Unusual Le Party Phantom Blizzardy Storm
92 votes up
17 votes down
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Comments

Surprise


1. 23 keys

Sold + Stormy Stahlhelm (25) for Searing Party Phantom (50)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797692?time=1436252400 (July 7th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797692?time=1436338800 (July 8th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059797692?time=1436252400&compare=1436338800


2. 20 keys

Sold for 20 keys? http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26356210 Can't find the keys in either of their bp histories though

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1435906800 (July 3rd)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1435993200 (July 4th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568?time=1435906800&compare=1435993200

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1435906800 (July 3rd)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1435993200 (July 4th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1435906800&compare=1435993200


3. 23 keys

Sold + Dusk Ketche (34.5) for Lantern Cosa (57.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1434351600 (June 15th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1435042800 (June 23rd)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1434351600&compare=1435042800



4. 20 keys

Sold for KaW Belgian Detective (18) + S. Invis Watch (2.1)

Seller doesn't appear in the Invis Watch's bp.tf history but did receive it- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26089250

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1432882800 (May 29th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1433055600 (May 31st)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127557265?time=1432882800&compare=1433055600



Avatar ★ armely · posted

    I'd say you only have one valid sale here and there are other likely higher sales you could be using the for the mini instead. Might just be best to wait for more sales to happen.


    Sale 1) Bulk sale, even 2:1 trades have all the same problems

    Sale 2) Sold in a day (also fairly certain he did pay 20 keys for it. I'd ask but he's offline)

    Sale 3) Bulk sale, even 2:1 trades have all the same problems

    Sale 4) Another (more recent) sale of the Detective for a Flies Larrikin http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061405421?time=1433314800

    Avatar ★ Snowraptor · posted

      I was under the impression that bulk sales were of 4 or more unusuals/major items and that 2:1s weren't completely invalid, just slightly weaker proof.

      Avatar ★ armely · posted

        If its pure or something that doesn't involve overpay then its perfectly fine to use as the value of the other item can be simply subtracted from the value of the larger item. Once overpay is involved though then the math get quite muddy and value can either be added or subtracted rather arbitrarily depending on how that *0.9 is applied. In addition to this the value of 2+:1 trades are usually skewed in the favour of the 1 hat and pretty much without fail will cast the 2+ items in a lower value than they actually are.

        Avatar ★ Snowraptor · posted