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Resuggesting
Sale #1
Sold with 5 keys for a flaming lantern Doctor’s Sack (outdated at 17 mini at 14)
http://imgur.com/a/rQt0l
He offered so no overpay required 14-4=9
Outlier
Sale #2
Sold for steaming Safe’n’Sound (outdated at 16 mini at 13)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26170007#latest
13 x 0.9 = 11.7 -> rounding to 12
Sale #3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26277928 - sold with ~2 keys sweets for smoking liquidator's lid
15.5 keys * 0.9 = ~ 14 keys
14-2 = 12 keys
Sale #4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25931793 - sold with 14.4 keys sweets + 2 keys for Demonflame Capotain (36.5)
36.5 * 0.9 = ~ 33 keys
Makes sale at 17 - cap at B/O of 16
Sale #5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26270549 - sold with 1 key for stormy storm reggaelator
19.5 keys * 0.9 = ~ 18 keys
18-1 = 17 keys
Minis
Sack
http://imgur.com/KsCgBhc - sold with 10 keys for HG Batters (25) 25-10 = 15
15 x 0.9 = 13.5 -> rounding to 14
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26266852 - quicksold for 11 keys
S’n’S
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26272299#latest – sold for dp honcho’s (14)
14*0.9 = 12.6 -> 13
Sales at
9, 12, 12, 16, 17keys were added to the larrkin for the lid. kinda obvious it was offered,no?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26277928
guy was also looking for new sniper stuff
and double overpay is a bit yuck.
edit: btw,are you 100% sure it was a 1:1 with the honcho ? http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26272299#latest
seems he declined a DP inspectour - 16
edit2: lol it was you
Regarding the lid, it isn't exactly obvious that the larrikin was offered. The lid owner could've gone to the larrikin seller instead and asked him to add the sweets.That is also a possibiliity no? This is just as much as an assumption. I would categorize that as unclear and apply overpay anyway. This should be close enough and captured all the sales present.