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Classifieds:
http://prntscr.com/7vo85a
Unsolds at 2 Refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26442520 - 1 Week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26427497 - 1 Week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26473051 - 1 Week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26432830 - 1 Week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26483093 - 6 Days (Never been Bumped)
Sellers below 2 Refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26472605 - 1.55 Refined (Greenglass)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26499012 - 1.66 Refined (Unbumped for 1 Day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26532309 - 1.66 Refined (Unbumped for 2 Days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26526710 - 1.33 Refined (Unbumped for 2 Days)
I went through all 4 pages on tf2outpost. Majority were KS'd or had Halloween Spell.
One of your 1.66 seller is sold. The 2days old one
1.55 is sold too
3rd link sold for 1.66 without a bump.
I'd go with a more conservative drop of 1.66-2 here, especially since many of your unsolds sold