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~825 keys
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Unusual Swagman's Swatter Poisoned Shadows
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Sale #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26326009

sold for aces high private eye , pro aus scatter

43 + 16 = 59~ 60

Price: 60 keys


Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26227875

sold with spec aus rifle for 107 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043202467?time=1435302000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043202467?time=1435561200

had a b/o of 70 keys.

Price: 70 keys


Aussie scatter mini:

Taking cheapest available non-hypno sellers.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26554146 - 42 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26554146 - 45 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26495053 - 45 keys

SCM Median for the past week : $113 http://puu.sh/j8ZGL/9f96f4fed2.png

Range of 38 - 45, taking keys as 2.5. Average: 41

Taking a final price of 43.


Aces private eye mini:

The one used in the previous sale has a bunch of complex sales and the following one, which is an obvious outlier:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26400470

sold with nuts noir, scorching bombing run, for bubbling cone.http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26389394


Out of the other two for sale, one is gifted. The second one has untraeceable sales, except one:


Sold for pro grenade launcher, pro silver botkiller scatter

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159634141?time=1437375600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159634141?time=1437462000

http://puu.sh/j911B/bfea35fe11.png

launcher ~ 8 keys

scatter ~ 9 keys (seller)


Using Woifi's x12 gives 15. Taking a conservative range of 15 - 17, with an average of 16. Not applying overpay since the seller doesnt have an outpost page,

and i presume he offered. even if he didnt, after overpay calculation, the value comes to 14.5, the difference is negligible.


Sale #3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25033395

Sold for stat trak gut knife doppler, FN

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/730,2631397380,506,3

Price: 50 keys


Conclusion and stuff: Ignoring Sale #3 on lieu of it being cross-game item trading and older than the other two sales, both of which have significant tf2 pure. Taking a final range of 60-70.


Let me know if you have any issues, and I'll look into it at the earliest.

    No overpay on sale 1?

      Meh, aussie and unusual with mini.

        But you didn't apply overpay in the mini? And I usually do *0.95 on aussies; closer to pure but not actually pure. I think that one is discretionary though.

          I understand where youre coming from, but the thing is that pro aussies have no fixed price and impossible to deduce which value to apply overpay to, and the best solution is just go with what price seems to sell easily for pure. I'm pretty sure that a pro one would go pretty easily for 40-41 which is somewhat where your overpay multiplier puts us as well. Adding on the different sheens and what not, a leeway of a few keys seems reasonable to me. But I'll keep your point in mind, and resuggest if a mod intervenes.


          I've specified why I didnt bother to take overpay on the eye in the suggestion itself.


          edit: fixed a few spelling errors.

            You'd apply overpay to whatever value you settled on, in this case 43 (though that's on the high side if you ask me.) ~41, with or without overpay, would be a more realistic value for selling in pure IMO, which would come to ~55 rather than 60 if you apply overpay on the hat as you should. Doesn't make a huge amount of difference, and I get the reasoning for no overpay on aussies (that's a discretion thing, like I said) but I do think you overvalued it and there's no good reason not to apply overpay on the unusual.


            Your choice though, and doesn't make too much difference I guess.

                There's no need to be rude. Why are you even commenting this to me? I didn't make the suggestion.

                  I own this hat I just paid 95 when my aussie scatter WAS PRICED BY THIS WEBSITE at 68-70 keys. this is an outrage

                    Again... I didn't make this suggestion. I don't believe your scatter was priced at nearly 70 keys 3 weeks ago but if you have proof to show it was worth that much then post it.

                      looking at in my bp here it literally said 68-70 keys. I bought this hat TWO days ago

                        That price is derived from the scm and is inaccurate. It's not what we use when doing minis on australiums as they frequently sell for significantly less,plus it doesn't account for the tax taken by valve when you sell an item on the scm.

                          Did I mention it was pro ks?

                            You didn't need to, it's in the suggestion. What I said still applies (actually what I'm saying only applies to killstreaked items, as regular aussies are properly priced so this wouldn't come up.)

      No, it was for the G. Fetti Scot Bonnet http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3944976004,30604,5 I had seen this earlier, bonnet is outdated as well. Probably will use the updated swagman to price it.

        I bought the swagman with the scot bonnet. Then i bought the guadalajara for the swagman and added sweets worth around a few keys. Proof: http://imgur.com/7cDO8La