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~20 keys
o.fire
Unusual Greased Lightning Orbiting Fire
48 votes up
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Just sold mine for pure, providing a little proof. Bit of an ugly range, but I don't see a good way around it.


1. Sale 1, ~16 keys: offered with 8 keys on Blizzardy Front Runner: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26011144

The seller had it listed for 17 pure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26262541

Seller, before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119597043?time=1434920692

Seller, after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119597043?time=1435042800


Seller appears to have been counting it as 16 keys or so. The math: Front runner (~22.5, nearly outdated) minus keys = 14.5, divide by 0.9 to apply overpay with the offered greased, value comes out to 16 and change. Looks like a trader that just checked backpack.tf and offered based on it. The person who accepted it clearly values the hat higher, and rejected an offer of 17 pure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26401656


I'm calling this one an outlier.


2. Sale 2: 27 keys. Listed by me, buyout 26 on outpost: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26272321

Still had it as 27 on backpack because I forgot to update it, and ended up selling for 27 pure:

(Inventory history; I had several other keys coming and going, backpack.tf would need key histories):

http://i.imgur.com/05QHjDS.png

http://i.imgur.com/y40EMAL.png


3: Sale 3: 18 keys, what I bought it for back in mid-May:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25723634

Buyout was 22 keys, bought it for 18 pure:

http://i.imgur.com/B5lPrw1.png

http://i.imgur.com/YvCBAkF.png


Only current listing:

Buyout 25 keys, offer of 17 pure rejected:


Taking 18 as the low-end from my pure buy and a rejected lower offer in pure. Using 25 as the ceiling based on the buyout, and that I probably would have taken 25 myself.


Feedback (such as any other sales for unusuals) would be great, feel free to counter if you find a couple that don't fit here.

    with sellers listing at 22 and taking 18, your 25 or 27 whatever seems too much like an outlier and using a seller to justify it doesn't really make sense. would need to see more sales at higher values personally

      Could be, I'd appreciate it if others were able to track down additional sales. These are the only valid ones I could find on these two, but there are five others I wasn't able to track down histories on without premium.

    I think it's fine. High end is a pure sale. And the one up for 25 keys on outpost is very poorly bumped.