"Science"

Came across this when researching the searing softcap. Lower than I thought

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold + sweets (~5) for miami BBM billycock (~13)+ stormy dead cone (~12)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26033277

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086197768?time=1432475337 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086197768?time=1432537200 after

Mini sale 1:

Mini billy:

Sold for stormy inspecteur (~13)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056007821?time=1436700091 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056007821?time=1436770800 after

Taking 13

(13+12-5)*0.9 = ~18

-> 18 keys

Sale 2:

Seems to have sold for stormy brain bucket (~18)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086197768?time=1432364400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086197768?time=1432475337 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086163964?time=1432423214 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086163964?time=1432450800 after

http://backpack.tf/item/1144049583 for http://backpack.tf/item/3441040371

Histories match

0.9*18 = ~16

-> 16 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for aussie amby (~15)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26467800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070125494?time=1437112467 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070125494?time=1437116400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049458483?time=1437116400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049458483?time=1437375600 after

-> 15 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for PE steel toe (~19)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107247940?time=1430550000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107247940?time=1430641502 after

0.9*19 = ~17

-> 17 keys

===========================================================================================

Supportive

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26506698

No offers in a week, BO 28

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26405684

No offers in 2 weeks, BO 27

Sales values make sense considering these BOs

Making a range with the sales, which are evenly spread

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3