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The other suggestion just really isn't cutting it with no sales listed and only buyers.
Given the tiny market and two sales at 7 and 8, plus buyers/offers at 7 up through 8, this range seems correct for now.
If you see any other sales, please post them.
Sales
Sold for 8 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26350960
Purchased for 7 keys (bp shows 32 keys yesterday, 25 today + black rose) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26585931 , http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090737788
Offers
Offered 2 buds - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26587852
Offered 8 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26381374
Offered 7 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26356157
Buyers
Buying for 7 Gun Mettle Keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26554741
Classifieds - None for less than 9, the buyer at 7 was successful.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Black+Rose&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1
16 sellers on Outpost (Non-killstreaks and craftable/tradeable)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/251557039,1
I'm the buyer at 7 keys and I got offered 3 more Black Roses while I was offline.
Yep, good to know.
Here's proof of me buying them. I also sold one for 11 keys in items within 3-4 hours of listing. I think the price should be higher than 7-8 keys
http://imgur.com/V3RDB8i