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sup.
only sale for a clean one in a bit.
http://puu.sh/jlCgR/3540393190.png
burning belgian - 210
sweets - 11
belgian offered, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26330367
210+11 *.9 = 198.9 rounding to 200
i bought the hazmat for a phos mancer + a couple keys.,
didnt feel like having a range of 120-200 and 200 seems to fit the price better based on other effects of the hazmat that are updated, (mainly nuts n bolt) and another offer on the hat i recieved. (bubz hazmat + 60 keys or so) (and bubz almost being updated to 130 / 150 this seems fine http://backpack.tf/vote/id/558b3899dea9e987668b4871 )
You should include the other recent sales on this history: http://backpack.tf/item/1118659397
You included 2 (I guess one was an outlier at 120), but sales up to may 1st are still valid. There are a few more there that could possibly make 200 be the outlier instead of 120. The only way to find out which is an outlier is to include those :P
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25855328
1:1'd for frostbite slug (that i can tell unpriced but more so in the 120 range)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25907958
100 keys pure (quicksell sold in under a day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26220216
cs:go stuff or cash,bp.tf tf2 bp never changed.
so basically alot more proof for 120, BUT its all 2 months old. and pricing orb fire lower then nuts and orb planets (both of which are updated) is kinda meh. but i can resuggest if needed
When there are only a few sales in the last 2 months, it is okay to use sales from up to 3 months ago. So far you still have a sale at 100 and a sale at 120, if you do a mini on the slug you can value that sale (which should be around 120 like you said) and then you can resuggest based on it, lets call it X. If it is closer to 200 go X - 200 and if it is closer to 120 go X - 120 (also you should value the Mancer sale properly, I'm not sure if it is 120 or not)
I dont think the mini on the slug is going to be much helpful, because this particular slug had b/o of 110, and sold in 7 days. However, the day it was put up it was untradeable. so for all intents and purposes, it sold in less than a day. And the other 100 key quicksale and the csgo stuff/cash essentially makes this the only valid sale in months. Its not on the market either, should be good enough for an update.
Ah okay, thanks for clarifying. I didn't look into it that far. Upvote :)
the mancer is 118, i added 9 keys making it 127. no overpay as the hazmat was offered.
Honestly, I think 120-200 is probably better. But I will differ to the seller (who probably understands value better than anyone else based on offers received) and the votes here. If you didn't get any offers higher than 120, I would probably resuggest at 120-200.