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~65 keys
electrostatic
Unusual Le Party Phantom Electrostatic
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67 votes down
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Range: 29-81 keys. If this gets accepted, it’ll be my first in like… over 9000 tries.


Sale 1

Sold very recently for an Australium scattergun (32, recently updated on bp.tf, no need for mini)

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089815020?time=1438585200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089815020?time=1438671600


Therefore, overpay 32 * 0.9 ~~ 29 keys


Sale 2

Sold for a Morning Glory Tartan Spartan (outdated at 101, taking 90)

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388233?time=1438066800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388233?time=1438153200

Mini on the tartan:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26630922 B/O lower than current price, at 90 keys, so taking 90 keys.


Sale seems like outlier, but is very, very, verrry recent.


So, overpay: 90*0.9= 81 keys.


Well, I for one, can say that the price range is FRICKIN HUGE, but lets just give it a try. All these sales were legit, so why not.


Thanks, if you have any constructive feedback, please tell me.

    One of these is an outlier.

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26684239 - only looking for 50 so I'd be inclined to call 81 an outlier but eeehhh I'd let the trade age a little more

      Bro that's the guy who asked me to price suggest the hat. XD The reason for him setting 50 keys as his B/O is because if this gets accepted, mid range would be 55 keys. So yeah

    Too wide range, 81 is definitely the outlier, I mean it's higher than AF

      Too wide indeed

        May I ask what is AF?

          Generally that means "As fuck".

            In this subject he means anti-freeze

              @ Juju Well, its "lower than Power Surge" which is more similar to Electrostatic than Anti-freeze. Plus, you can't just determine which is the outlier based on just some other random outdated unusual.

                Mate, I haven't determined sh*t here.

                  Was replying to Juju, sorry.

                    Still, either end is the outlier.

        Applying overpay on Australiums isn't necessary. It's close to being pure.

          50\50, some people apply it, some don't. Impossible to argue

            "It's close to being pure"

            I just feel like this going below 30 is a bit low, but regardless of that, 29 is close to 30, so I guess it's alright if applying overpay on aussies as well here then.

          range is way too large

            Tartan recent sale: Sold for Searing Spook Specs

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141389999?time=1434438000

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141389999?time=1434524400


            Spook Specs: Looks to have sold with Ghosts runner + keys for bonzo flamenco, both updated

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026707500?time=1435302000

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026707500?time=1435388400


            edit: nvm, the flamenco sale seems to be wrong. here is the history of 2 specs

            http://backpack.tf/item/3398906372

            http://backpack.tf/item/3488452369

            see if you can trace a sale for mini

              The two sales are discrepant. You'll need a third sale to identify the outlier.