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My second pricing, please be gentle
I now realize 242 is an oddly specific number, but it was the midpoint of the last suggestion ;)
--------------------Sale #1--------------------
Burning Masque + CM CannonBall + Burning Fro + G fetti Shako + Stormy Conquistador -> Secret Tough Stuff Muffs
This trade should probably be used to help price the muffs, not the masque.
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1437030000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1437030000
Tf2outpost trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26131024
--------------------Sale #2--------------------
Sold for a Time Warp Ninja
175*.9 = 157.5 keys
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061312726?time=1435734000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061312726?time=1435820400
--------------------Sale #3--------------------
Sold for a GE Tough Stuff Muffs
295*.9 = 265.5 keys
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094604909?time=1438498800
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094604909?time=1438671600
--------------------Sale #4--------------------
Sold for a DBD Team Captain + DBD Galvanized Gibus + Gifted 1/1 Amaranthine Hallmark + #2 Merc's Muffler + 22 keys
(115 + 65 + 84 + 50)*.9 + 22 = 304.5 keys (see below for more info)
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094604909?time=1438153200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094604909?time=1438326000
This entire sale is a little difficult to price, but it does help support the other sales.
--------------------
Mini: Gifted Amaranthine Hallmark
I can't trace this hat's history through backpack for some odd reason, but I am 98% sure the trade goes as follows:
Sold for a Burning Flames Detective Noir + 20 keys
(71.5*.9) + 20 = 84 keys
History of the Noir: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3945799634,319,5
History of the Keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26509009 (Stock of 20: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26509009)
History of the Hallmark: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3949926358,146,5
Backpacks of both users:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009583740 (mad canadian)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038335563 ([???] (????))
Any help confirming this would be great :)
--------------------
'Micro': Burning Detective Noir
Sold for a Bubbling Killer's Exclusive and a Nuts and Bolts Stash
(44.5 + 35)*.9 = 71.5 keys
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094870937?time=1438650960
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094870937?time=1438671600
----------
'nano' ¯\_( 。 ヮ゚)_/¯: Nuts and Bolts Stash
Outdated at 45 keys.
Unsold at 35 keys for 1 month+
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26384865
b/o drop
35 keys
--------------------
Mini: #2 Merc's Muffler
:( I searched through the three sales or so and they either made no sense or were part of a bulk deal. That being said they were offered 20 keys a bit ago, so they have to be worth at least that: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26176589.
b/os seem to hover around 70-75 keys...I hate to do it, but I'd simply ballpark these to be around 50 keys...any help is appreciated...
(For the sake of consistency in the final sales, I'll use the merc's as 20 keys, the minimum)
--------------------Sale #5--------------------
Sold with 4 keys and a bud (7keys) for Ghosts Brown Bomber
257 - 11 = 242 Keys (Was Offered, therefore no overpay.)
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1436425200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407?time=1436511600
--------------------
Mini: Ghost Brown Bomber:
Sold for 13th Hour Jefe (250 Keys) + Steaming Sober (~10 Keys) + Stormy Whoopee (13.5 Keys) + 11 Keys ~257 Keys (after overpay)
Backpack
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122275273?time=1436425200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122275273?time=1436566372
[B/O] http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26558645 ~200 Keys
I am aware the buyout is less than what the sale comes to, but with the sale right around the range of the other masque sales, it seems appropriate to use the full price and not a quicksell b/o restriction
--------------------Final Sale Listing--------------------
157.5- obvious outlier242
265.5
304.5 - If we take the merc #2 to be its lowest, from the offer of 20 keys, the sale becomes 274.5. This helps back up that 265.5 is not an outlier and this raise is sufficient.
242-265
Creds to Roller for the Bomber sale-although you goofed on it! Mindacos for the rest of the info for it.
Did I forget to math?
Do I not understand basic pricing rules?
Am I just plain dumb?
Leave comments below with your advice and suggestions :)