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Ressugesting with updated bp.tf price on one of the sales...
Bought it for a Professional Killstreak Australium Knife from the unboxer.
Screenies: http://postimg.org/image/av7fgfcaf/ & http://postimg.org/image/v9pfz5o3j/a811136d/
We were already steam friends, and since I was paying with an aussie, we decided on no overpay.
Sale #1 = 36 keys (see mini)
Aussie Knife History: http://backpack.tf/item/2515208480, Black Watch History: http://backpack.tf/item/3856159037
(he doesn't show up in history since he doesn't use backpack.tf)
Mini on Knife:
They sell for about 35-40 keys on classfields: http://postimg.org/image/6454ms3l3/
I will value it at 36 keys, because that is the lowest non-hynpo-beam seller on classfields.
Sale #2
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Samur-Eye + 5 keys: http://postimg.org/image/51xtz8hkn/ & http://postimg.org/image/vtwdzm1lh/
Samur-Eye valued at 53 keys (bp.tf price updated) - 53 x 0.9 = ~48 keys + 5 keys = Sale at 53 keys
Samur-Eye History: http://backpack.tf/item/2599191702
Black Watch History: http://backpack.tf/item/3856159037
Backpack.tf price: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55af454ddea9e96f508b459b
Gonna take 35-53 keys as the range from the two sales.
Unsold at 38 for 3 weeks:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26530022
Sale 2 looks kinda high
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26838834 Still unsold
53 looks like an outlier here
Going to close since you guys brought up some very valid counter-proof