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This is my very first suggestion; Constructive Criticism helps a lot! Thank you :)
http://backpack.tf/item/3176615212
Sale 1 - Sold for + ~11.5 Keys of Stranges for a Blizzardy Pyromancer's (57.5)
http://imgur.com/DFYJtQz
57.5 - 11.5 = 46
Sale 2 - Sold for Peace Sign Buccaneer (27) + DP Sultan (13)
http://imgur.com/pRdn0Ua
40 * 0.9 = 36
Thanks to ᴾᴾᴹ Shuffle Spy [7309] for helping me with this suggestion.
are you not applying overpay to sale #1 because the fruit shoot was offered?
That's what we're assuming, since all of the Stranges were added.
Edit: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26093044 --- No offers
eh, can't say I agree with the logic there but it doesn't make a huge difference anyways
looking at sellers trades it seems like he likes mancers: http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/902901
You missed a key in sale 1 - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143025562?time=1432969200