"People die at the fair"

~~~ Requested by Clarity ~~~

Minis on this thing were a pain.

The sales:

Sale 1:

Bulk sale

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1438948827 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1439017200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104705575?time=1438930800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104705575?time=1439048519 after

Cant use this

===============================================================================================================

Sale 2:

Sold for ghosts yellow belt (~65) + vivid swagman (~40) + searing yellow belt (~49) + Pro ks aussie sniper (~45) (cant relate the 15 keys to the sale)

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104705575?time=1437910016 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104705575?time=1437980400 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1437953751 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1437980400 after

Minis sale 2:

mini ghost belt:

Almost all on the market are duped. On the clean ones:

- one has no recent sales (last sale in april was some weird sale involving an unpriced ooze trenchers

- The one involved in this trades recent sales are unusable:

> Cant identify the full sale, but it was involved in some bulk deal regarding a lantern bonk

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390?time=1439362800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390?time=1439449200 after

View matches in itemIDs, but cant trace it back to the seller. With the view involved its unusable because it'd be too low

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073796186?time=1439440159 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073796186?time=1439449200 after

Cant vind the view here. The KaW falkirk doesnt show in the buyers bp. With only the scorching snaggle, this would end up high; in which case capping at the buyers current BO is fine I guess

> Some sale involving unusual weapons, not gonna touch:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1437980400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1438082692 after

> Sold with searing rack for duped ghost rack..?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015743031?time=1437634781 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015743031?time=1437721200 after

needless to say, I cant use this.

Seller 'below' bp prices at 65:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26796348

Gonna take 65

Mini swagman:

all recent sales I can find were sort-of bulksales in which its value would end up close to or below 0. All current sellers are going for 40 as far as I can see; going with the 4 month old price of 40 (which is partly based on a duped full pure sale btw)

Taking 40

0.9*(40+65+49) + 45 = ~185

-> 185 keys

Sale 3:

Seems to have sold for duped PE rack (~160)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069475306?time=1436806192 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069475306?time=1436943600 after

Overpay applied in the mini below

Minis sale 3:

Mini rack:

Sold for PE yellow belt (~90) + duped GE swagmans (~74) + C.spec ks reserve shooter (~4) + S.pro ks detonator (~4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1436770800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076005517?time=1436857200 after

Minimini swagman:

Sold for 74 pure:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26740072

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1439513666 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1439535600 after

Taking 74 pure

0.9*(90+4+4) + 74 = ~160

-> 160 keys

===============================================================================================================

Making a range 160-185

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3