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Unsolds at 2.3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26343419 (month, badly bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26571763 (3 weeks)
Seller at 2.1 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26816998
= whole market
Counterproof is welcome.
Quick screenshot of the classifieds: http://i.imgur.com/IUzmNby.png
Two at 2.1, no buys higher than 2, sure doesn't look like it would be evidence against a drop
SCM supports the drop as well