Suggestion: Green Confetti War Pig at 135 keys

Price Suggestion

~38 keys

g.fetti

122 votes up

19 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 14 Sep 15 21:47:52 +0000 by the submitter.

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Green Confetti War Pig

Onwards!

SALE 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017486723?time=1435388400&compare=1435474800 - sold for Bonzo Spook Specs (open sugg. at 150 * 0.9 = 135)

There you go, Gent. :)

codswallop

Sales don't lie.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017486723?time=1440486000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017486723?time=1440572400

New sale. Sold for a duped Heart Ten Gallon. I think it's an outlier though - the person who sold the war pig is big on engi, looking at their profile: http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198017486723

Yes, 135 keys seems rather high, but I'd put more weight on such a pure sale rather than a sale for a duped engi hat where the seller was really looking for one it seems.

Fyi, the current owner offered the war pig + bubbling glenggary bonnet for my duped c.heart v.tyrolean (which I declined): http://i.imgur.com/nkRRq1g.jpg

This shows that the current owner is willing to sell for much lower than 135 keys. Given the more recent sale (hearts gallon) and the current owner's willingness to sell for much lesser than 135 keys, I suggest you wait for another sale to happen, 135 definitely doesn't fit in here at this moment.

I've already provided my reasoning as to why I think the gallon sale is an outlier. That offer he made wouldn't be too much lower than 110, so I'm more or less ignoring that. I'm happy to leave this up until another sale occurs, because I feel this is more correct.

New sale:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137261202?time=1441350000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137261202?time=1441436400

Can't track.

I think your sales are discrepant here and we just need to wait for a third usable sale here to identify the outlier. The hearts ten gallon may be around 50 keys and a bit low, but I suspect that that is actually closer in value to the war pig than the specs.

Yeah, was thinking about this overnight - it's been on and off SCM, which might render the specs sale to be an outlier. Nevertheless, I don't think pricing the War Pig using just the gallon sale and the logic that it's been on SCM a little bit.

I'll come back to this.