Price Suggestion
~17.5 keys
kill-a-watt
Unusual Frenchman's Beret Kill-a-Watt
116 votes up
27 votes down
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KaW Beret is ~2 times the price of TaW? This is madness!


  1. Sales Evidence:

    Sold for 18 Keys pure (took 2 months of exposure)

    Proof:

    a) (Overview) http://imgur.com/KGrZAff

    b) (Effect) http://imgur.com/TwBlwfi

  2. c) (History) http://backpack.tf/item/3736264032


  3. Circumstantial Evidence:

    i) Seller at 17 Keys. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26804507

    Claims to be quickselling for 17 Keys, but trade is 4 days old and has received only one public offer of a Genuine Robo-Sandvich (16 - 17 Keys).

    ii) Unsolds at 25 Keys

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26690458 (2 weeks)

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26462287 (1 month)


Notes:

Could find no other usable sales within the past 2 months. Sales were either obscure and untraceable or too old.

Pure sale took sufficient time for it to eliminate doubts of suitability on the low-end. Unsolds indicate the current price (averaging on ~25 Keys) is too high.

Constructive criticism and additional feedback are welcome.

    Madness? This is sparta!!!


    sorry, i couldnt take it :d, proof seems good thougth

      A witty, but predictable response. We must prepare for war, for destruction is imminent.

      owns 1 instant downboat

        That is inaccurate. bp.tf failed to update and register the sale of the Beret. It is no longer in my inventory, as I sold it. Don't know why it shows me as owning it.

      In accordance with that B/O the price should be 17-18, but i think this is close enough

        The B/O is only circumstantial evidence, which may be over-ruled in the event of an actual sale. It is more of a supporting proof than the instrument by which the suggestion hangs.

          Eeeeeeeeexcept In most cases, a B/O IS a low-end, i can link many suggestions which i have done that myself, i just need to find them


          The reasoning?


          If it sells for more than 17 pure, it will be priced at 17 regardless of how much it went over (unless, ALOT), so that's why it is referred to as the low-end.


          I don't see any "Supporting proof concept" here

            I was unaware that you could properly treat the B/O as the limiting cap or price cap in a suggestion, regardless of how much the Unusual sells for. However, in this case, that would only change the average by 0.5 Keys, which would not justify a resuggestion, especially since the upper-bound would refer to a pure sale.

              ...That's why i referred to it as "close enough"?

                I was not disagreeing with you. Simply trying to outline and clarify the reasoning.