Sale 1

Sold for duped max's head = ~23 keys (24 at time of sale, -1 to account for overpay/dupe)

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101183381?time=1436684400 (July 12th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101183381?time=1436857200 (July 14th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101183381?time=1436684400&compare=1436857200

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Sale 2

Sold/offered with bubbling hong kong cone (40-45) and ~5 key sweets for disco beat down gibus (60-70) = 65 - 42.5 - 5 = 18 keys - not the best sale to use, as this hat was a relatively small part, so call it support

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117660949?time=1436857200 (July 14th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117660949?time=1436943600 (July 15th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117660949?time=1436857200&compare=1436943600

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Sale 3

Sold for frostbite texas tin gallon (19-21) = 20 * 0.9 = 18 keys

Buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288008?time=1437202800 (July 18th)

Buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288008?time=1437289200 (July 19th)

Compare link: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288008?time=1437289200&compare=1437202800

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Seller for 19 keys, 1 month:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26545851

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Given the unsold at 19, I am going to call the max's head sale an outlier and go with 18 flat. Feedback welcome.