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New one unboxed, so let's update this.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26773446 Sold for D@D Samureye (unpriced, mini at 162) + Ghosts Festivizer (24)
186 * 0.9 = 167.4 (rounding to 170)
Histories:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991710013?time=1439967600&compare=1440054000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26765471 Sold for GE Peacenik (unpriced, mini at 81) + 26 pure
= 107 (rounding to 110)
Samureye mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091777100?time=1439794800&compare=1440313200 Sold for DB Texas (see micro at 162)
= 162
Ten-gallon Micro:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102901677?time=1439881200&compare=1439967600 Sold for Scorching Mining Light (~180)
180 * 0.9 = 162
Using 162.
GE Peacenik mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152704983?time=1438412400&compare=1438498800 Sold for Hellfire Pompom (open suggestion at 90) + sweets (~1)
90 * 0.9 = 81
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142235454?time=1438066800&compare=1438153200 Sold for 20 keys (???)
Using 81.
Unboxer could have flipped quickly for quick profit, fairly common occurance, calling 110 an outlier.
Let it ride.
Yeah 26 keys is not enough to make up the difference between ge and burning on a rare hat.~
Another one got unboxed, so the price goes up? How curious.
Might just be because that quick flip wasn't put into the range though.
110-170 would still be a rise :P
But yeah, I stopped trying to make sense of price patterns a looooong time ago XD
Its a first gen what more need be said? People obsess over them to an insane degree that I've never been able to understand.
I guess it's one of those internalized things, like valuing duped / gifted items lower, or something.