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*Requested by Current Owner*
http://backpack.tf/item/2031739954
Sale 1) Sold + Spec KS Aussie Sniper (~33) + Duped Blizzardy Dread Knot (6) for an Arcana Cold Killer (212.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123368951?time=1436338800&compare=1436252400 --- Seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045231649?time=1436338800&compare=1436252400 --- Buyer
Friends with Jabango as well, I asked him.
212.5 * 0.9 = ~191 - 6 = 185 Keys
Dread Knot Mini
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044722872?time=1434351600&compare=1434783600 --- Sold for 1 Bud (~3) + 3 Keys = 6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26381816 --- B/O of 150 Keys
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The other 2 sales were low outliers (Worth 98 Keys and ~90 Keys)
If there are sales at 90, 98, 150, how are the lower sales outliers?
Seller of the 98 is Outpost banned -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198111984733
Seller of the 90 sold without a bump -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26765469
Makes sense.
150 sounds more like an outlier
It's not like it matters but, for future reference, that mini isn't right. There are a lot of buyers who will pay at least 7 keys for any unusual, even duped or gifted:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24883104
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24240208
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26502798
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26605536
And i agree with Jacobmeister, sales at 90 and 98 make 150 look like the outlier, unless you have offers or something that could support that price.
Seller of the 98 is Outpost banned -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198111984733
Seller of the 90 sold without a bump -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26765469
And what about this sale? http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111984733?time=1440486000 (Aug 25th vs 26th)
Assuming everything there was involved, Swag would be something around ~120 keys, but Honcho is duped, so it's value should be even lower than that.
Edit: oh wait, that's the trade ban you mentioned. Well, that's interesting. The actual owner bought it for much less than suggested price, but that can't be used to price it because of the ban. Now he tries to sell it for 150 taking advantage of that.
that's not a sale was a overpay if u notice
What? A sale is a sale, doesn't matter if there's overpay involved. That's why everything should be multiplied by 0.9
But i don't know if a ban makes that sale invalid, so whatever. Mods are always who decide, i'm just giving my point of view.
Also, even if the Knot was, say, 7 - 8 Keys, the B/O still caps the sale at 150
I know, that's why i said it wouldn't matter here. Even without the B/O, a change of 1 key isn't important. Just for future reference in case you were going to suggest a new price on any low-tier unusual. For now, anything lower than 7 keys for duped (or even gifted) unusuals is going to be an outlier with these quickbuyers.