Suggestion: Miami Nights Executioner at 43–62 keys

Price Suggestion

~33 keys

miami

84 votes up

8 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 28 Aug 15 23:40:36 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

MN EXE

Thanks for pointing out the keys I missed in sale 2, Marty!

SALE 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048236351?time=1438758000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048236351?time=1438844400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26703180 - sold for DBD slope scopers + DBD aviator's assassin (B/O was 40, sale would otherwise be 69 * 0.9 = ~62)

Going to ignore the B/O here. Wasn't really up long enough for it to matter, and the overpay is something that shouldn't be ignored here.

SALE 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069523099?time=1437894000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069523099?time=1437980400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26601844 - sold with 6 keys + 1 bud (~9) for DBD Danger (75 * 0.9 = ~68) - 9 = 59

SALE 3:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054795885?time=1437807600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054795885?time=1437894000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26586974 - sold for PS OMA (44.5 * 0.9 = ~40) + 3 keys = 43

SELLER:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26599408 - 45, 1 month

Wide range is probably needed. Can't ignore two high sales. Sales at 43, 59, 62, taking 43-62

If there is a seller for 45 keys for 1 Month, i see no reason why 62 should be in the range. Thats a large difference in value.

There are two sales above that by a long shot, though. That's where I'm unsure.

I see it like this. if nobody wants it for 45 pure, would really anyone even now pay ~55 in non-pure?

Both of these sales were roughly 3-4 weeks ago, around the time the 45 seller put up their trade. If they were older, maybe on the 2 month border, sure, I'd ignore them.

This was originally intended to be only a mini for the C9 exe, and this works perfectly fine for it, but for now, I don't think a definite value can be put on it without more sales, so I'll re-visit this another time.