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One user is selling for 100 and the other is looking for around 110-
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/253755631
Also one user has it up on backpack.tf
Strangely you don't own one
His bp is worth exactly 105 keys :P
Ohhhhh I see how this is now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26862448 Apparently either of them has offered on the other. No clue as to what happened, as his comment seems to make no sense at all in regards to the trade post itself, nor can I find the seller offering anything on the commenters trades anywhere.
Im extremely surprised, but hey, it seems like the mid range of your suggestion makes sense given these sales:
Sale 1:
Sold for c9 cowl (~33) + FoD oblooterated (~35) + stormy baker (~21) + 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26672631 BO 75 keys, has been up for a few weeks
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977395790?time=1440260301 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977395790?time=1440399600 after
Easily exceeds the sellers BO of 75
-> 75 keys
=======================================================================================================
Sale 2:
Sold for unusual isotope aquamarine | Mercenary Grade Rocket Launcher | Field Tested
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130568933?time=1439532112 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130568933?time=1439535600 after
Unpriced, probably not an accurate display of the hat's value
=======================================================================================================
Sale 3:
Sold for KaW cone (~92) + S.spec ks degreaser (~3) + Aussie minigun (~21)
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130568933?time=1437548400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130568933?time=1437692272 after
Seller:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135763017?time=1437548400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135763017?time=1437634800 after
Cant link the KE to the sale, but its likely the minigun was added and instantly sold (hence the keys appear in the sellers bp after the sale)
0.9*(92+3) + 21 = ~105
-> 105 keys
=======================================================================================================
Sale 4:
Sold + secret salty dog (~54) for a PE company man (~170)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26510798 BO 85, relisted once
Buyer:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135763017?time=1437289200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135763017?time=1437435231 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045288265?time=1437116400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045288265?time=1437381764 after
Histories:
Cowl: http://backpack.tf/item/3520258713
Cman: http://backpack.tf/item/485643785
Dog: http://backpack.tf/item/1200622334
Since the BO has only been up for about 2 days, Im not going to cap this sale at its BO.
0.9*(170-54) = ~105
-> 105 keys
=======================================================================================================
Sale 5:
Presumably sold for CSGO stuff:
Sellers profile (has no OP trade for the hat):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198064408779
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064408779?time=1437103733 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064408779?time=1437375600 after
=======================================================================================================
Seeing how sale 1 would have been ~105 as well if it wasn't for the BO cap, Id say you can exclude 75 from the range.
This'd show you have 3 sales at ~105, which is pretty solid for a flat price of 105. You might have to include the seller at 100 to make a range of 100-105, but all in all it's very close. I'd recommend to resuggest at either 105 flat or with a range of 100-105, using the sales provided.
the first guy literally states he's looking for around 90 pure and those are sellers not sales. You need valid recent sales to price unusuals
You need sales, not sellers.
good try, but you need sales