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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26900526 - b/o quickselling at 24 (no offers)
Sale 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26883682 - Sold for 16 keys pure
Sale
http://imgur.com/A84cJ4O
Bought mine for 20 keys pure
Sale 3: (Making this an outlier, seems too low)
1:1 with a duped peace sign scotman's
Scotman's was offered
Bp of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078661101?time=1437030000
Bp of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078661101?time=1437634800
Mini for stovepipe: Sold for duped flies tavish
Bp of buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062075870?time=1435302000
Bp of buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062075870?time=1436684400
Mini for tavish: b/o at 13 keys (No offers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26930087
Sale 4:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26883682 - Untrackable sale but b/o was 21 keys
Going with 16-20 flat
"Lowers own unusual"
Turns out sale 4 was also sold for 20 keys pure
Also sold for a pro aussie sticky + spine chilling skull 2011 (2) + a key (1) + some refs
Aussie sticky mini - average of 5 recent solds = approximately 61 dollars
61*0.9 = 55
55/2.49 = ~22
Market sales for sticky next 5: approximately 52 dollars
52*0.9 = 47 dollars
47/2.49 = ~19
Nineteen is a much more reasonable price seeing as I could not sell mine for a very long time for 20 keys (was pro killstreak, even had parts), but I got to sell it in a bulk sale: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26500352
Other sales before these support this, and go even lower