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I spent way too much time on this, had to take the easy mini out
Only Sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26098973 Sold for KaW Head Warmer + 0.5 in sweets
B/O for Geezer was 22
Warmer had no trade, presuming offered
X = 28*0.9 + 0.5*0.9
X = 26
X = 22 (B/O)
Warmer http://backpack.tf/item/1836629779
Geezer http://backpack.tf/item/1665113185
Mini for Warmer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26690263 B/O of 28, using 28
Eh, you have premium but can't come up with any sales for the warmer?
There are 8 out of 26 warmer with recent sales i am pretty sure there are usable ones. You shouldn't be relying on a 4 weeks unsold b/o to give this hat a value.
Here is a sale for the Head Warmer
Sold for a Spec Aussie Knife
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26563307
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089899772?time=1437980400 (July 27th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089899772?time=1438066800 (July 28th)
Mini for Knife
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Knife
$67 (.9) = 60/2.5 = 24 keys
Either way the B/O on the Geezer would still come into play since the sale would be 24.5 since i already did overpay. So 22 seems fine.
I love you Randy