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ROUND 3, thanks to ♥Prof. Sugarcube™♥ #Xyp9x ftw for providing helpfull comments, the mini of the topper, and a lot of proofs:
#1 SALE: SOLD (only recent one) mine the 26 august for an Aces High Dr's Dapper Topper with 3 keys pure = (15.5+3*0,9= 16.65), rounding to 17.
Mini of the topper provided by ♥Prof. Sugarcube™♥ #Xyp9x ftw.
My backpack after the trade: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130683083?time=1440658800
Mini suggestion of the Topper: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55e56623b98d88fb248b45e0
Sale #2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26616147 Sold for C9 Big Chief + Spec KS SF Ax
B/O for Gym was 20
Chief had no trade, presuming offered
X = 20.5*0.9 + 4*0.9
X = 22
X = 20 (B/O)
Chief http://backpack.tf/item/3206182982
Ax http://backpack.tf/item/1361232411
Gym http://backpack.tf/item/3437270216
2 current unsolds: 1 at 20 (current price) from 6 days: http://backpack.tf/u/76561197978210095
Another one at 24, thinking about lowering the price : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26904908
Bought the one on outpost for 21 Keys - Lets say i like gym rats, ;p https://gyazo.com/8fe9f67384b7096ebd94ba93283dcf93
The sale you posted looks like an outlier. So no, i do not consider it a counterproof. The actual range posted is fine.
im not sure how you feel 21 is an outlier when it took 3 days to sell at that but w/e
You have 2 of them. This smells like you are afraid of lowering it's price. I'll wait for the other one to sell, and then i could modify a bit the range. Otherwise, it is fine.
Oh, and btw, buying the most expensive one on the market instead of the other one is just really stupid. Nice try.
yeah im a collector and i gave a sale 1 key off of the range you posted, im just giving you more sales to help.
Sorry, but I don't think randy gives a flying fuck is this goes up or down as he use to collect logo hats. He also has enough to go buy 10 more of them if he so wanted. Granted there are only 4, but it was to make a point.
I just founded strange the fact that he bought the more expensive one instead of the cheapest and cleaner one. That's it.
It's a pure sale. 21 should probably be in the range.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds?steamid=76561197978210095&page=45 is an unsold for more then a week for 20 keys. The actual range, i think, is fine. Anyway i am waiting for this seller to sell: if he do, i'll add other proof modifying the range, otherwise i think is fine.
Well, unusuals take time to sell. Just because a hat can't sell in a week for 20 on classifieds doesn't mean that it can't sell for 21 keys over time.