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9 months outdated
Sale 1:
Sold with 2 keys for a Scorching Flames Janissary Ketche, a Green Confetti Mining Light, a Circling TF Logo Crocleather Slouch, a Circling Peace Sign Dr's Dapper Topper, and a Purple Confetti Whoopee Cap
(37 + 37 + 25 + 20 + 18)*0.9 - 2 = 121.3 rounding to 120 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021228339?time=1436857200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021228339?time=1436943600
Sale 2:
Sold with 30 keys for a Duped Burning Charmer's Chapeau
Asuming it was offered because the other guy was cashing out (155 - 30) = 125 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197989884606?time=1440831600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197989884606?time=1441090800
Sale 3: (outlier)
Sold for a Peace Rack?? Definitely an outlier, must have been cash on the side. EDIT: Randy said these may have been involved: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26469872 but its too hard to tell exactly what happened so I'm scraping this sale
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062885440?time=1436770800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062885440?time=1436857200
Notes:
Mini for the Whoopee
Seller at 18
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26949167
Mini for the Duped Burning Charmer's Chapeau:
Took 2 months to sell with a B/o of 160 - 155, can’t tell what it sold for though
First trade with it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25907629
then he had 4 or 5 in between
Last trade he had with it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26135070
Taking 155
Conclusion:
Going 120 to 125
Sale 1 also added 2 keys and a pro ks black rose (untradeable) along with the charmers, not sure how much the black rose is since its untradeable (and really hard to find a mini for it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27042897 unsold thats the lowest i could find). But I guess its more than 3 keys, so the sale would be 115 or even lower. I would call it an outlier with the duped sale from below.
Resuggest at 125-130 please.
I sold my Duped one for $240 in cash ~(130 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26670306
The same duped Chapeau sold for 100 pure + Terror-Watt Rack (capped at 130 keys) - Also had an offer of 130 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26418312
But this is probably close enough.
Well if a duped one sold for 130 twice that makes both sales here outliers, but like you send maybe it is close enough. I guess I'll wait for a mod's opinion :)
(accidently warned oops)
Yeah i guess range should be 120-130 (im sure there are duped sales lower than 130). I guess you can use this price also for a duped beams charmers then.
Edit: Nvm found some items missing in sale 1.