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Sale :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26961867 - 10 ref (Not in bp)
Conclusion :
Small market. 1 on OP (asking for 2 keys? and never bumped), 0 on bp.tf. SCM supports the raise.
Apparently he wanted overpay in items?
See the refs on the right? See how the 4th ref got the number 10? He wanted 10 ref or overpay in items...
Oh ok I thought he wanted 10 ref in items :P
Just checked the history of some of the refs and they are from one user that has the strange item mentioned on the sale in his/her bp so they did sold for 10 ref. :P