Yup. Not a 5% change but needs the drop.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26973423 - seems like gud deel

Classifieds:

http://i.imgur.com/1uJZEgO.png

http://i.imgur.com/60TbQAg.png

2x 11.33

1x 11.66

2x 11.88

12x 12 ref (1 with green paint)

Sellers/Sold @ 12 ref or lower:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26996461 - unbumped

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27008047 - 10-12 ref item

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27017557 - 11.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27024028

Unsolds @ 12.33-12.66/bp.tf price:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27000463 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26998011 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26985401 - 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26844592 - 3 weeks

Conclusion: Small market for unpainted. Most sellers on outpost are highballing/have poorly bumped trades, so I'm going with 12 mostly off of classifieds here.