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Bring down the beanies!
Classifieds: http://i.imgur.com/wZtXvEq.png
2x 4 ref
Sellers/Sold @ 4 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26986575 - 5 days (had 2, sold 1)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27013271 - 1 day
Unsolds @ 4.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27010065 - 1 day
Other trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26978371 - 4.33, unsold 6 days, unbumped 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27017632 - 5, unsold & unbumped 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27021226 - offers, 13 hours
Conclusion: 6 trades on OP, 3 of which are valid. Not much to work with but 4 flat looks like a better price.
Not too sure about a 1 day unsold, Although the proof looks good. Pretty sure the proof outweighs it though.
Less than 5% change.