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Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26845290 B/o 45 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941073
No doubt it's more than B/o, capped at 45
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26757703 B/o 45 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26805265
30.5 * 0.9 = 27.45 ~ 28 + 15 = 43
Phosphorous Bootleg Base Metal Billycock Mini
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55f84eb5b98d8877558b45af
Evidence to add, purchased for 41 keys
http://imgur.com/ZBR9ew5
The pic I posted above doesn't make it clear it's a Death At Dusk, it was my trade so I guess you can check my backpack to see it there and the history to see the seller's name matches the pic.
Here is the duck guys trade -
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005001098?time=1443769200 (October 2nd)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005001098?time=1444249815 (October 7th)
The seller also had a B/O of 40 keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26993717
This should be re-suggested at 40-45
I have to agree with that.