Suggestion: Stare from Beyond Galvanized Gibus at 120 keys

Price Suggestion

~200 keys

stare

106 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 25 Sep 15 22:36:42 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

SFB GIBUS

Continuing the h'ween 14 stuff. All for the rather "unusual" suggesting game, go have a gander.

http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/43611-a-rather-unusual-price-suggesting-game/#entry463017

Also, I actually remembered to put the comparison link AND link dates in this time. Hopefully that'll be habit.

SALE 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070143554?time=1442127600 (September 13th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070143554?time=1442386800 (September 16th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070143554?time=1442127600&compare=1442386800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26971236 - sold for Frostbite Bonk Boy (outdated at 122, mini at 122) = 122, rounding to 120 keys

Get outta town, no double overpay.

BONK:

No trackable sales within the last three months. Here's the last sale on it:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000425853?time=1436338800 (July 8th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000425853?time=1436598000 (July 11th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000425853?time=1436338800&compare=1436598000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26214811 - sold for Ghosts Head Warmer (55) + Frostbite Conqueror (mini at 45) + Demonflame Buckaroo's (36) = 136 * 0.9 = ~122 keys

CONQ.:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55e3ef7cdea9e93a6d8b460a - 45

SALE 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299?time=1441177200 (September 2nd)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299?time=1441522800 (September 6th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029332299?time=1441177200&compare=1441522800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26785066 - sold for Strange WW Pro. KS Isotope Brick House + Planets Lucha + GE Mongolian

I was about to post this suggestion, then noticed Tanner's closed suggestion for this. There IS a sale on the minigun, but it was very early in the Gun Mettle update, I have a feeling the minigun's value would be lower now.

Another bulk sale for a duped Vivid Antlers, and one more untrackable sale.

Pretty much it, I guess. Bonk Boy should be fine, I've proved the value's stable more than anything else.

I just realised a sale in July is within three months of now.

RIP me.

i knew 110 wasn't suspiciously low for this

upvote

I sold mine a while ago for a sunbeams pirate bandana

pics or it didnt happen

You didn't show up on bp.tf item histories due to you quickselling it. However, you showed up on Outpost item histories. Guess I'm checking both from now on :P

Anyway, here's confirmation of the sale:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1439017200 (August 8th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1439103600 (August 9th)

I'm correct in thinking you bought the Gibus for a Mallard Falkirk + Orb. Fire Dread Hood too, right? I didn't originally touch that because the gibus wasn't showing up but I guess I'll confirm this now

I'll look into the bandana soon, too.

well i was offered a stat m9 doppler p1 ~ 165 csgo keys, had 150 pure csgo keys offer from random server hopping, past owner had doplar p2 karambit offer (worth 200 keys+ ez) also offered a Sulphurous Galvanized Gibus http://imgur.com/OgQT8h7 i donno why each time i get something one of a kind these kind of suggestion have to pop up. i traded with a frostbite bonkboy , look at the offers bonk boy hav now.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27044603

i accepted the gibus offer on bonkboy when i had it after seeing the offers he had in his post http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26971236 which satisfied me what of what i was looking for .anyways i have nothing more to say.i am never going to sell this at this price even if someone comes with pure and beg me to sell, no offence.

advance apology if i offended anyone. peace.

this is a gibus mate, even if i put it in steam market at 400 i can sell this ez and get 345 usd which is way more in PURE keys than this suggesting price.

well you have to apply overpay for that offer and the CSGO keys(I think) so it ain't exactly gonna be 200 keys, most likely about 180 keys, and even with that it is most likely an outlier.

sorry i am fairly new in tf2 and i am not familiar with with outlier or other suggesting stuffs :/ not saying it will be 200 but even if it is 180 pure we all might have a fair idea what things can be done by pure in tf2 market.apologies again for not understanding what you were trying to say :/

ps.i just like to collect sfuffs for my own collection and i sell few which i buy for making some profit later.this was the only reason i invested in tf2. basically i am a csgo and dota2 collector and trying to be tf2 collector but in this dry market if is really hard if these kind of price things goes on :/

well an outlier is usually a perticularly high or low price sale where there are not any other sales at that same price or very few at that price. Take your sale, 180 keys is a lot higher than the trend of ~120 keys, and unless some more sales at or around 180 keys pops up than it will be an outlier for that reason of it being an uncommon price. On the other hand overpay is what you apply to unusual sales that involves something that isn't tf2 currency. Take another unusual or csgo keys, since they aren't tf2 currency you apply overpay which means you multiply the value of what it sold for by 0.9, so it would be 200 * 0.9 which equals 180 keys.

ty, i will keep this in mind :)

I agree 120 is a little low. Everything just points towards that value.

I'm not going to try dissect your CS:GO offers simply because cross-game trades tend to have skewed values on one end, normally.

The Frostbite Bonk Boy you're referring to just sold for a Demonflame Lucha:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27044603

The Lucha has no recent sales. Last sale I could find (back in May) was probably PayPal.

I'm a little hesitant to call the seller's valuation of these offers accurate considering he's valuing a Demonflame Lucha at 200+. Taking a look at the other offers he received:

$275 PP - keys are around $1.8? Puts that at ~153 keys.

Phos. Kabuto - only sale on it is for a smoking viewfinder, year old price of 190. another sale would really be needed to confirm its value, but probably 150+.

Mallard Exe - realistically ~120: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55cc1422ba8d88e9528b4585#comment-55df0b27dea9e906328b4583

time warp wraith - I recently updated this at 95

Beams Hive - tons of these around, and looking at other effects... i wouldn't put it past 130-150, but that's just at a guess

The Frostbite Bonk Boy's value is definitely higher than 120, but it's something we need sales to prove.

As stated above, it sold for a Beams Bandana - I'll look into that, if the value is roughly ~120 then I'm pretty happy to leave this suggestion up.

There's also another sale I'm yet to confirm that is possibly ~100 as well. Three sales around a particular price point certainly override one or two CS:GO offers a little higher + that Sulph. Gibus offer. (Gibuses are a pain to sell sometimes.)

Okay, so as it stands, it doesn't seem right to base this suggestion off the Bonk Boy sale. I believed it was stable at 120, but current offers suggest not. It's definitely higher, and until there's proof for that, we can't use that sale.

The only usable sale on the Bandana is for an MG Brainiac, and I have a suggestion lined up for it, but Snowraptor appears to be handling it, and I'd rather not steal that. I'll wait patiently until then.

The only other sale for the Gibus is the falkirk + dread sale, and that may be low compared to the other two.

So I'll just close this for now.