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This was bound to drop.
Sold for a Factory New Sand Cannon(16 Keys with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970885814?time=1437116400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970885814?time=1437202800
Sold for 20 Keys*
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060146051?time=1436511600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060146051?time=1436684400
*The keys were used to buy a PE Samur-Eye from Rain Man as shown in the histories:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145255903?time=1436425200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145255903?time=1436684400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111977118?time=1436598000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111977118?time=1436684400
Factory New Sand Cannon mini suggestion
All recent sales on the SCM(Keys = $2.49): http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Sand%20Cannon%20Rocket%20Launcher%20%28Factory%20New%29
$39.82
$40.10
$46.00
$45.58
$45.04
$45.31
$41.56
$42.51
$44.45
$44.45
The average comes out at $43.48(Roughly 17.5 Keys)
Two sales, 16-20 Keys should be fine.
Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.
recent sales on the cannon ? you should take the values at the time of the trade,no ?
those seem just a tad more realistical too
btw taking overpay on SCM proof ? SCM is basically pure yunno
edit: <.> also keys are more like 2.4$~ on scm - now and back then
Copying what I put on your suggestion here.
Okay fine, let's do it your way and use the nearest sales at the time.
Sales between July 17th and July 24th:
$65.01
$65.14
$54.86
$52.49
$52.49
$47.62
$47.62
$47.62
$36.83
$36.83
$36.83
$36.83
The average comes out at $48.34(Roughly 19 Keys)
19 Keys is 17 after overpay, which makes it really close to my own suggested range. My suggestion is fine, but I appreciate the concern.
any response to my comment or do i need to steal your proof and counter ?
Yeah, sales on the Sand Cannon were around $60 at the time of the trade, which would put the range somewhere around 20-24 (seems more reasonable).
But don't be mean, give him time to answer/resuggest.
he commented on another suggestion since i posted my first reply
omg dat drop,still,upbloat
Well, there's a sale at 40 for you - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56098d35dea9e90b78a13202 :P
As I mentioned on that suggestion, it would be valid if the sale wasn't actually outdated :P
Kinda seems like an outlier
I would probably go 20-21 or 20 flat. My comment on the other suggestion:
"Sale happened on the 18th. You are cherrypicking a sale on the 13th and not using the sale on the 19th. Sales used should be 65, 65, 55. At the time of the sale, keys were 2.48.
So sales for that based on what the buyer pays are 26, 26, and 22 keys. Range = 22-26. Seller receives ~21 keys. So the selling value is 21-24. Even if you choose to ignore overpay (these things take a long time to sell for pure), you have way overvalued the cannon here."
26 for the cannon is high but 16 is probably low.