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Classfields: https://gyazo.com/09a7d0bbd7e99a63f7a562218205ad74
Seller at 14.88: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25446320
15 ref: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27143568
Unsolds at 1 key: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27144362
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27152377
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27146010
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27058545
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27119640
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27136478
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27116905
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27033752
Thanks for helping: youtube/happysedits (2500 subs)
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198081201910
one seller for such a common item? probably a quick seller or an outlier
bealive it or not, but the unpainted market is very small
I helped him with the suggestion, and i found some more here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27098500 15.33 seller, week unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27092655 same person as the upper one
his 14.88 is restocker, so we wont use that one
his 15 ref seller is completely valid, so we are going to use that
bealive it or not, but the unpainted market is very small
but 8 unsolds vs 1 single seller .-.
well, look at the proof
only valid is this one
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27152377 2 days unsold at one key
other are poorly bumped
so its 1vs1 (+ restocker)
Well given there's plenty of sellers selling their painted ones at 1 key on classifieds, the unpainted version is likely to be valued less.
There are still some sales on tf2op above a key for painted versions though.