Suggestion: Purple Confetti White Russian at 80 keys

Price Suggestion

Purple Confetti White Russian

Submitted Fri, 02 Oct 15 22:13:53 +0000 by ★ gmsod

45.45%

n/a

80 keys

~69 keys

p.fetti

20 votes up

24 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 03 Oct 15 00:26:33 +0000 by the submitter.

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Sale #1:

Purple Confetti White Russian + 25 Pure + Strange Killstreak RL+ FT Tartan Torpedo

for

Stormy 13th Hour Trophy Belt - DUPED

115 * .9 = 104.5 - 25 = ~80

Not including overpay because the White Russian was offered ON the Trophy Belt

(not counting RL and Tartan as they are sweets worth ~1 key)

90 Keys

BP before Sale: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149180255?time=1442732400

BP after Sale: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149180255?time=1443078000

Only other sale was to Shpeed and it was for a lot of Skins which are very unstable and hard to price as well as being in time where most likely priced differently so not counting that one.

Thanks! =)

The other sale (spec aussie bb + FN Sand Cannon + FN ks Tartan Torpedo)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071029904?time=1441263600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071029904?time=1441350000 after

It may need minis and might not be the best sale to use, but it is apparent that it is not even close to 80.

The black box is ~20

The sand cannon is probably around 20 as well [using sales around that time, generously pricing]

The tartan torpedo has some SCM sales that [converted] would be ~5keys on average

[8-8-12-12-16, in Euros, avg little below 12€, which is roughly 5]

The sale is likely around 45 keys

Id say it may be worth waiting for another sale on this one

[Edit]

These are rough estimations and might need further investigation before being used in an actual suggestion; just pointing out its probably about half the suggested value

Just confirming that I did pay a FN Sand Cannon, the Aussie BB and KS FN Tartan Torpedo, idk if it actually helps. I wanted to feel like I contributed.

I can tell you right now that this hat is not worth 80 fucking keys.

You need a mini on the RL and Tartan Torpedo whether you like it or not. And you need a mini on the Trophy Belt.

That lots of skins sale can still be used. And is probably more accurate than this sale you have right now.

Answering to this http://backpack.tf/vote/id/560efb73ba8d88a22ca41c7f

The reason on the KE price difference is the number on existence: 2 PF exist (outdated at 407 keys), and 7 GF exist (outdated at 180 keys). In this case 3 GF exist and 4 PF White Russians exist.

The two-sales or one-month-wait "rules" to price unpriced unusuals exist to avoid pricing an item out of a sale that could be either a low or high outlier. In this case, this one looks too high for this effect, when there are more wanted effects with lower B/Os on Outpost. And this one doesn't look themed to me.

Edit: the point is, if another sale happens around the value you are suggesting (you still need the mini on the Trophy though), then you will have enough proof to do it. Right now one sale doesn't seem enough.